Which State Has Best Odds Of Taking Home 2023 U.S. Open?

Which State Has Best Odds Of Taking Home 2023 U.S. Open?
Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

The US Open begins on Thursday at the prestigious Los Angeles Country Club, with the only downside being that there is no California sports betting to get in on the action. This will be the third major Championship of the year with The Open to follow next month. 

It’s the first time since 1948 that the US Open will be held in the Los Angeles area and there are a multitude of California-born players hoping to duplicate what Nick Taylor did just last week in Canada and win a de facto home game.

California isn’t the only state looking to win the title, as Americans from all over the country would love to win their nation’s open and to grab a coveted major championship. 

Utilizing the odds to win on BetMGM Sportsbook, BetCalifornia.com has developed hypothetical odds of having the U.S. Open winner born in a given state to see who has the best chance of getting in the way of one of the home state products winning.

Which State Has Best Odds At 2023 U.S. Open Winner?

StatePercentage Chance Odds
New Jersey13.3%+650
Florida 9.0% +1010
Texas 5.5% +1715
Other (US or International) 49.8% +100

California Leads The Way With Cantlay, Homa

With so many great options it’s no surprise to see California at the top of this list. Patrick Cantlay has seen this course more than anyone else in the field, estimating he’s played it over 30 times, and the odds reflect that as he can be found at +1600 to win, similar odds to Rory McIlroy. Cantlay held the course record of 62 here for some time until Max Homa broke it in college with a 61. 

Homa, another California-born player, checks in at +2800, the third best odds of any Californian. Xander Schauffele is +2000, and while he has yet to win a major, he has been in the mix more than almost anyone in the past few years. Cantlay and Homa are also seeking their maiden major title.

2020 US Open Champion Bryson DeChambeau, Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler and Sahith Theegala round out the other notable Californians in the field. DeChambeau is coming off of a top 5 performance in the PGA Championship and at +4000 also has a good chance to win this week.

Jersey, Florida, Texas Also In The Hunt

New Jersey checks in second on the list , thanks solely to the presence of Scottie Scheffler in the field. At +650, Scheffler is the favorite to win this week, as he has been most times he’s teed it up this year. His tee to green game has been untouchable this season and has led him to two wins. If not for an ice cold putter, he would likely have at least four victories.

Florida is third, and like New Jersey they are mostly a one man show with Brooks Koepka sitting third on the odds board at +1100. Koepka has two US Opens to his name and is coming off of a victory at the PGA Championship. Matt Kuchar also hails from the state but is much further down the board.

Finally, Texas will have its say in this tournament as they always do, and even a Scheffler win would make Texans proud as he played college golf for the Longhorns and makes the state his home. Jordan Spieth, Patrick Reed and Taylor Moore will all take a run at giving Texas the title.

Don't Count Out Jon Rahm

Those four states make up almost half of the win equity in the field, which is no surprise with two of the three favorites and a couple of the only players who have experience on the course. The rest of the states and the world will still have a big say, perhaps no one more than Jon Rahm (+1000). 

The winner of this tournament in 2021 and the defending Masters Champion has been lights out all season and is looking to add another big victory to his already record setting year.

At a course most of these players have never seen, this could easily be one of the most unpredictable US Opens yet. But the cream usually finds its way to the top in these major championships, meaning the most likely winner will be a familiar name found close to the top of the board.

Keep it here for more coverage of the golf season, plus California sportsbook promos when betting does become legal.



Cecil Peters

Cecil Peters is a Senior Betting Analyst for BetCalifornia.com. A professional sports bettor in Canada, Cecil specializes in analyzing the latest odds impacting professional sports teams, with a focus on Toronto's favorite players and teams including the Maple Leafs.

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